Best Super Bowl Squares Numbers
From 3,028 NFL games, 2015–2025
The short version: you want 0s, 7s, 3s and 4s. At the end of the first quarter, 0–0 wins 15.5% of the time, since so little has been scored yet: 0–0, 10–0 and 10–10 all land on it. By the final, scores spread out and 7–0 leads at 3.7%. Squares with 2, 5 or 8 are long shots at every payout.
Top 10 squares
How often each square won, at each payout, in 3,028 regular-season and playoff games from 2015–2025. A square is one pair of digits: the top team’s and the side team’s. Ranked by their average across the four payouts.
| Rank | Top | Side | Q1 | Half | Q3 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 15.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 7 | 0 | 12.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| 3 | 0 | 7 | 12.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| 5 | 0 | 3 | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| 6 | 7 | 7 | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 8 | 3 | 7 | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| 9 | 4 | 0 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| 10 | 0 | 4 | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
Squares come in mirrored pairs: 0–7 and 7–0 come up equally often, since it doesn’t matter which team has which digit.
The best square at each payout
| Payout | Top | Side | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 0 | 0 | 15.5% |
| Half | 0 | 0 | 6.4% |
| Q3 | 0 | 0 | 4.5% |
| Final | 0 | 7 | 3.7% |
The first quarter is lopsided: few points have been scored, so a handful of squares win most of the time. By the final, the scores have spread out and even the best square only wins a few percent of games.
The 10 worst squares
| Rank | Top | Side | Q1 | Half | Q3 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.08% |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.07% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8 | 8 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2 | 5 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.05% | 0.3% |
| 6 | 5 | 9 | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.3% |
| 7 | 9 | 5 | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.10% | 0.3% |
| 8 | 8 | 9 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 0.3% |
| 9 | 9 | 8 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 0.3% |
| 10 | 2 | 8 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.10% | 0.5% |
Every digit, best to worst
How often a team’s score ended in each digit, averaged over the four payouts.
| Last digit | Chance |
|---|---|
| 0 | 26.5% |
| 7 | 21.0% |
| 3 | 16.6% |
| 4 | 11.0% |
| 6 | 8.1% |
| 1 | 5.5% |
| 9 | 3.8% |
| 8 | 3.1% |
| 2 | 2.5% |
| 5 | 2.1% |
Why some numbers win more
NFL points mostly come in 7s (a touchdown and extra point) and 3s (a field goal), so scores like 3, 7, 10, 14, 17, 20, 24 and 27 come up all the time. That makes 0, 3, 4 and 7 strong digits, while 2, 5 and 8 need unusual scoring to show up.
It’s still luck: the numbers are drawn after everyone has picked, so nobody can choose the good ones. Once the game starts, the odds move with the score and the clock. On a Super Bowl Block Pool sheet, red rings follow the likeliest squares for the next payout, using these same games.
Based on 3,028 NFL games (2015–2025 seasons, regular season and playoffs), from the free nflverse play-by-play data. Past games don’t guarantee anything about the next one.
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